Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #59912

Real Zaragoza II VS Robres

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.76%
Draw
24.00%
Away
20.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2943
Log loss
0.5841

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
35330b4b6db6ffd35e4f822b73cade584f800e77f221f2a7baf4717e52fbf3de

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →