Frozen pre-match forecast · #59859
Peralada VS Atlètic Lleida
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 28.58%
- Draw
- 27.52%
- Away
- 43.91%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7786
- Log loss
- 1.2526
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
- SHA-256
- 3239c2d89a7b5e4dfcab2083292b1cc756bd270a5da2d295c43a71a3a7741bac
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.