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Frozen pre-match forecast · #59835

BKV Előre VS Bekescsaba 1912

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.14%
Draw
20.50%
Away
60.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2358
Log loss
0.5048

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
024105f313c29674f93ec16e248c0d5a1e3c299e6c95507a801618d3516cc794

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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