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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5961

Nijlen VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.12%
Draw
29.85%
Away
34.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6130
Log loss
1.0183

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
SHA-256
82ee2cfc7e4bd867aa5e03e974a451658ce98b5a33a1289abf970e925dddb83e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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