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Frozen pre-match forecast · #59543

Dynamo Makhachkala II VS Druzhba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.16%
Draw
24.08%
Away
55.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0063
Log loss
1.6015

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
8206282b64332933a11eda10778c66e6cfa9b21c512a82b74aedab7f6dfd6797

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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