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Frozen pre-match forecast · #59520

Åsane W VS Start W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.28%
Draw
25.84%
Away
31.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8304
Log loss
1.3532

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
a77d3e36546d86557c49caca3395324c2cfe7c747e8724b69bab0ea11d53547b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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