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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5921

Torhout VS Sparta Petegem

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.06%
Draw
32.82%
Away
36.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7135
Log loss
1.1692

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
SHA-256
835e2c79da4b2566bb048b82f37d2eb2f7e4ae61cd423d0776959181133a0373

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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