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Frozen pre-match forecast · #592

Chisola VS Sanremese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.28%
Draw
42.30%
Away
41.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0514
Log loss
1.8152

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
48680165c0cd9652289417eb6890677782070d65355fa4232c0f0eeced66ba17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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