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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5919

Ninove VS KRC Gent

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.68%
Draw
32.35%
Away
35.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.7009
Log loss
1.1496

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:25 UTC
SHA-256
ef369750b3c401908d09b387e1d586133d71083cd6aeb9f4ab07cce67a99ca36

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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