Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #59155

Borac Cacak VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.37%
Draw
28.91%
Away
36.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7583
Log loss
1.2410

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
ba5b5fce2e1af041e0e3babfa970a3a0bfb214e266d42e17959436dad6a62891

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →