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Frozen pre-match forecast · #59125

Anaitasuna VS Tedeón

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.62%
Draw
22.00%
Away
25.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3373
Log loss
0.6421

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
ec2bc7dd8f4b0034fa1d7b37a45a982df602bd2f0e9571bef93f70f3ff997a90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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