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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58954

Bridlington Town VS Whitby Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.52%
Draw
19.81%
Away
24.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2980
Log loss
0.5885

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
ab6bba4758a947aab1e1393e1ea8127f69a1df595742e190433a6ad35be01f85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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