Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #58861

Koprivnica VS Uskok Klis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.17%
Draw
19.23%
Away
65.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1783
Log loss
0.4216

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
486e0a40d3a4ce65a522b12b51995eccc6fd64ad018cec4c7ccb89f85139ec29

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →