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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58409

Askøy VS Brann II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.29%
Draw
21.12%
Away
26.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8568
Log loss
1.3244

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
a8b1e133907a92d446dd056d7c5cee70d9f6c7a23760b26a3c54b0d4f6fd1770

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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