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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58362

Konnerud VS KFUM II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.01%
Draw
20.51%
Away
35.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6520
Log loss
1.0362

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
06c270b5ca1c050e47c75098c11a9af7cf17644e37e0327a1432e92d6b335ffc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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