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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58323

Tornado Pekanbaru VS Barito Putera

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.89%
Draw
23.92%
Away
20.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9319
Log loss
1.4305

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
d959b59e2a4e9159029e29c7bf483d164f08d4394918768677c7982ff09ec5f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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