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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5832

Ebro VS Terrassa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:23 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.95%
Draw
33.73%
Away
34.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6946
Log loss
1.1410

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:23 UTC
SHA-256
6346ae15dc7def74a1ae8dc9f2ccd7cb94b247026ae0ed080af7f0e5b72893a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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