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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58318

Ústí nad Labem II VS Újezd Praha 4

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.88%
Draw
19.68%
Away
59.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0420
Log loss
1.6256

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
9400dbeaf4a16c6da6bbf115dea04deccf6f9a66c033727b842b80fc3b700228

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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