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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58316

Slovan Liberec II VS Benátky nad Jizerou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.12%
Draw
23.81%
Away
36.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6264
Log loss
1.0197

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
98f1b4d3c9f6a71527f52dd7217718e9c1fa505d55f00275ffc8cbb6a1bb0fcb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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