Frozen pre-match forecast · #57866
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu VS Progresul Spartac
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 36.56%
- Draw
- 24.87%
- Away
- 38.58%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6132
- Log loss
- 1.0063
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
- SHA-256
- 4d961f1fa779428b859c4f2ec999a3e7986b9f9edfdc44ad3e0482b16373c4f5
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.