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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57852

Sutjeska Foča VS Omarska

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.62%
Draw
25.95%
Away
22.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3517
Log loss
0.6613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
1cbe0fd7282356b053d798304d1be2ad45c1d88ecd13d8f7f9103374db017292

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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