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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57684

Shaanxi Union VS Dalian Huayi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.40%
Draw
24.98%
Away
25.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3842
Log loss
0.7053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
210cd52865a0bcf7e50e509c4fffae6f80cea42ea97d588d7a0ccd1a5d95a3a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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