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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57587

Olympique Safi VS Chabab Ben Guerir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.05%
Draw
23.11%
Away
9.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1717
Log loss
0.3997

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
35d968316e3df004a07c453b9216cb44045bc4abc1a58d34d022b066f32e3e1e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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