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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57575

Weymouth VS SE Dons

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.64%
Draw
16.47%
Away
11.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
defd8e9d2d8db063f23d73c143663788ada9dfa3ef79191507cf3a1868b84dc0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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