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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57565

Oxford City VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.75%
Draw
23.08%
Away
29.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4114
Log loss
0.7392

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
052e670470ac05926eff5434cb003b09a85aa182b68513a48149281ab88f5603

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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