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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57353

Liptovský Mikuláš VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.04%
Draw
25.83%
Away
32.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5059
Log loss
0.8665

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
891ae8a1939ec7cb699869a09484421ed283ccd3ea04da6c3e8754c629a962e9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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