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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5719

Juventud Torremolinos VS Algeciras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.38%
Draw
34.05%
Away
36.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6046
Log loss
1.0059

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:22 UTC
SHA-256
61203fd09bafaff65dfce990c39e63d210e486e7513a4b1c9436f18e9d79e0d1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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