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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5715

Velké Hamry VS Sokol Brozany

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.00%
Draw
33.55%
Away
49.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0460
Log loss
1.7720

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:22 UTC
SHA-256
1cefa5a433aa487220aefb97d23400e087ff92685c02e7b5f472f574e7d5b14e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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