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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57110

PE Sant Jordi VS Inter Ibiza

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.07%
Draw
23.19%
Away
19.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9546
Log loss
1.4613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
59daff4fcf5c3d153b18ece3f25c979994b02f4d3e46616a90c56bbb73055d8e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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