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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56900

Veria VS Vatolakkos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.09%
Draw
22.57%
Away
14.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2078
Log loss
0.4607

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
de5ea6a1f4efa1897ea064a6f66cf38b8fe228b1e147fdbd64ac7b7b4bbfd005

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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