Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #5687

Racing Club Warwick VS Bromsgrove Sporting

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
75.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1250
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:21 UTC
SHA-256
a8c8a1498495c7ec8608c56f99e27c561a39ad57161a7bf2a511974c9e297d9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →