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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56682

DAC II VS Komárno II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.57%
Draw
21.10%
Away
17.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2222
Log loss
0.4850

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
4740dfa8de20c0cdef1ee199ba4a6a120084b6e1f57f10aeed0e2aecd88c2d00

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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