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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56383

FC Lebbeke VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.36%
Draw
23.49%
Away
35.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5226
Log loss
0.8829

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
8fd08c0571366b47f4d24b65267c8c04c0348451b9fa8a69fadb13f5fd1b4b94

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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