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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56231

Tamale City VS Wa Power

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.21%
Draw
26.66%
Away
22.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8491
Log loss
1.3220

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
025e4b40c85b973c6c40a246d094050aef74339f8273b155c94414ef8a7b4a0c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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