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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56199

VIFK W VS EBK W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.83%
Draw
20.41%
Away
59.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0414
Log loss
1.6179

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
d47915fef7ac9f6e26aaad7b9ec7667d503dc19b63d08a70bb07962a312679bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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