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Frozen pre-match forecast · #56109

Clachnacuddin VS Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.68%
Draw
22.78%
Away
52.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8952
Log loss
1.3992

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
9348e38b9def889e11c326f6fc11b05b6d5013710e93b0b4b139f0aad9b89db7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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