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Frozen pre-match forecast · #55822

Atletik Kuklen VS Rozova dolina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.53%
Draw
24.94%
Away
40.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8468
Log loss
1.3886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
SHA-256
6e1b124e387744a79fa68e1fdace2ef7e31eeb9d985af4232336a69b0ba355ff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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