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Frozen pre-match forecast · #55592

Fram VS Sandefjord II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.64%
Draw
19.64%
Away
26.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0049
Log loss
1.6276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
19b021e591626f80ef1830c831615276de36d7ac46c9c7a96ce8968c25269084

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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