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Frozen pre-match forecast · #55586

Nardo VS Strindheim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.74%
Draw
21.56%
Away
41.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5214
Log loss
0.8747

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
1c5cfda4045a452f110e94e4a6b0ead22d136ff886cbcac9d1eefb1db023707b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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