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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5548

Csepel VS Szeged-Csanád II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.37%
Draw
34.63%
Away
31.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6410
Log loss
1.0603

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
SHA-256
5ce0158864b43c16121d33a8ea205b743e139e881b3fcbb56af1cea1daee9499

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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