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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5547

Tatabánya VS 1908 SZAC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.97%
Draw
43.81%
Away
13.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5347
Log loss
0.8448

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
SHA-256
c952d8908949a5fa6ef3461cac1c4f471ea672feccebd66ea9e7016ba7f2b9d2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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