Frozen pre-match forecast · #55468
Paro VS Bhutan U19
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 92.85%
- Draw
- 5.08%
- Away
- 2.07%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.0081
- Log loss
- 0.0742
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v4
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
- SHA-256
- 827ee2569ef34b6d4a20cb06cb7dfba38218e5694b6a37f400d8d589d5bea8b3
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.