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Frozen pre-match forecast · #55262

Inter Sibiu VS Valenii de Munte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.80%
Draw
20.84%
Away
21.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2671
Log loss
0.5481

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
04950406cee5b2ae1b50ce14803144ee9780a675d36c4c259987810067b1aea4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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