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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5508

Podvinci VS Rače

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.30%
Draw
32.78%
Away
25.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8270
Log loss
1.3504

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:19 UTC
SHA-256
9014e84772fee6d7c9d1edc852fc86c6eb11070ecbd92a6a5f23e94b6ed121d2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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