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Frozen pre-match forecast · #55045

Dubai United VS Hatta SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.33%
Draw
23.59%
Away
37.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5612
Log loss
0.9332

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
401f8c965d72cd795d4f5209a4e04cfdd82d8a2c4ec4b1f59ec76f2415af8339

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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