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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54995

Rotselaar VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.63%
Draw
23.21%
Away
48.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7953
Log loss
1.2508

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
4ceb2e2ea8fe687510abb119a3fdf1901571aed75235fc63de3432705ca51167

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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