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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54977

Huy VS Crossing Schaerbeek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.81%
Draw
24.21%
Away
47.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8820
Log loss
1.4184

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
b3ca0dc8664584312fc409578ca68afc9e89c20cd1b50dcdc1930c46130f5204

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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