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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54952

Athletico PR U17 VS Cruzeiro U17

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.22%
Draw
23.10%
Away
30.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7475
Log loss
1.1816

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
15072de25bf51907e05c3391c2b033cf98dbc9b7145d5a5cde949e4cde8b348a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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