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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54824

Boreham Wood VS Kidderminster Harriers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.22%
Draw
24.05%
Away
25.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3718
Log loss
0.6888

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:29 UTC
SHA-256
70a2edc224e7d1098f90c2c5fcffab8b917b3536743b96cf03f9fb6de20f5465

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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