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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54375

Idrija VS Dob

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.71%
Draw
22.82%
Away
55.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2975
Log loss
0.5893

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
SHA-256
6abda8ef59976836c9e012978ffab9eaab7b517240b9b1286d41c84e1110d809

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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